Beer biz ain’t so hot in summer ’17. Despite very easy comp in Jul (down mid-singles in Jul 2016), domestic brewers’ taxpaid shipments down 690K bbls, 4.6%, estimates Beer Inst economist Michael Uhrich. That wiped out entire May-Jun gain, following rough Feb-Apr. So yr-to-date taxpaids off 2 mil bbls, 2%, Michael estimates. And imports just flat thru Jun, cider still soft. All in, known US shipments off about 2 mil bbls, 1.6% yr-to-date. Actual trend probably a skosh better including tuff-to-track taproom volume (TTB is way behind reporting volume this yr). Gotta figure import total/Mexican volume will get a bounce sooner or later, with known Constellation gain. But overall, growth remains elusive as hell. Even mid-range of Michael’s projection for 2017 volume, -0.5% to flat, lookin’ like a challenge. For 12 mos, US biz off 1.7 mil bbls, 0.8%. Lookin’ ahead, Aug taxpaid comp is tuff (+3.6% last yr), but Sep-Oct was especially soft, -4.5%. Meanwhile, retail scans stayed soft thru mid-Aug after modest pop for Jul 4. Volume off 1.4% in scans for 4 wks thru mid-Aug. On-premise retail volume continues down about 2%, according to Nielsen CGA report. Meanwhile, spirits slowed a bit this yr, but volume still runnin’ up 2% or so.