Beer Marketer's Insights

Beer Marketer's Insights

Boston Beer still does better in grocery vs key convenience store channel, Goldman Sachs analyst Bonnie Herzog reminded in note following mkt visits in Atlanta with ceo Dave Burwick and sales staff in wake of big c-store show NACS last wk. Flavor a "dominant theme driving placements and positioning," Bonnie wrote about conference broadly. Hard seltzer more about "sessionability," so Truly portfolio shifting toward lighter flavors (Tropical, Citrus, Berry), which are "performing well." Its "bold" flavors falling off or discontinued for Boston, shifting makeup of Truly portfolio: bold was 70% of Truly a yr ago, but 30% of total seltzer; now just 1/2 of Truly.

Sierra Nevada sr exec Joe Whitney (currently chief commercial officer) will retire on Jan 5, 2024, the co announced late Friday afternoon. Joe joined Sierra in 2006, following stints at New Belgium and Boston in a beer career that spanned 35 yrs. Joe led Sierra's sales and mktg efforts thru the go-go yrs of growth and thru the more challenging recent period. Sierra is slightly bigger than in 2018, better than most larger craft brewers. He has long been one of the craft scene's more astute and articulate execs, who played a key role in making Sierra go when it got most of its growth, and who also understood and advocated for the segment's strengths with passion.

Coca-Cola's crossover brands collectively sold about 90 mil cases since entering the alc bev biz, chief of new revenue streams Dan White said from the stage in conversation with NBWA prexy Craig Purser at this year's program. Co's experimentation in alcohol started a bit over 2 yrs ago with entrance of Topo Chico Hard Seltzer, a "Covid-driven opportunity" and something of a "canary in the coalmine," said Dan. But developing Red Tree Beverages was the next step to "drive growth for everybody in the room," he commented, calling Coke's decision to partner with beer distribs "distinctly different" from key competitor PepsiCo.

Beer sales are still stuck in this drawn-out period of unpredictability post-Covid, Lester showcased as part of his rapid-fire presentation at NBWA. Before 2019, Lester could predict the industry would be up or down 1% each year, he explained. Since then, it's more like +10% to -10% for rolling 12 months, which looks more like a commercial real estate graph than beer. "Giant runup" and "great falloff" of volume during Covid "completely destroyed our ability" to predict vs "reasonable comps," he went on. "I think it'll normalize" eventually, but those days "are elusive for us."

NBWA prexy Craig Purser delivered one of his most topical and urgent presentations at this year's NBWA convention, addressing declining beer category and what he called "the elephant in the room." Tho not named specifically, Craig clearly referred to the ongoing Bud Light controversy and the massive declines in AB system. "I know many of you have been hurting the last 6 months or so and I wish there were a simple solution to fix it," Craig said. "Some of you are selling more beer than ever, while someone sitting behind you is facing dramatic declines that have nothing to do with anything they did or didn't do."

By focusing on “diversity,” organizations emphasize an “outcome” rather than the work needed to achieve it, explained J Jackson-Beckham during the Sovos ShipCompliant virtual Beverage Alcohol Summit late last mo. As the equity & inclusion partner for the Brewers Assn and the principal of consulting firm Crafted for All, which is focused on “building opportunities for traditionally underrepresented or marginalized groups” in the craft beverage space, Dr J (as she’s often called) refocuses attention on “the work.” And in shifting the emphasis to the means, J also reframed the ends as not just more “diversity,” but stronger, more resilient, profitable and productive organizations. 

Means Over Ends “I sort of go out of my way to not use the word ‘diversity,’” J confessed while kicking off her presentation. It’s a confession she’s made before but can still be surprising to hear from someone in her line of work. “The word ‘diversity’ focuses our attention on the wrong part of the work,” in J’s view, focusing us “on the ends rather than the means.” She urged folks to “fix the plumbing now; worry about the window dressings later.” In other words, how the house works, not how it looks: “infrastructure” is “much more important” than “splashy programs that are publicly facing.” 

Productive Questions: Inclusion, Equity & Justice J moves emphasis toward 3 other words that lead to “productive questions” designed to elicit answers that can guide processes and strategies. Inclusion invites the question: “have we made sure that everyone knows they are invited to come into the room?” Equity involves asking “is everyone in the room able to have the same quality of experience?” And justice asks “can we eliminate the barriers people are experiencing that keep them out of the room or inspire them to leave too soon?” In her experience, “if you are being as inclusive, equitable and just as possible, diversity will come,” and it will come alongside “other positive outcomes as well.”

Clear Imperatives: Innovation, Culture and Profit For those still wondering “why” to put resources toward DEI (diversity, equity, inclusion; or conversely, IEJ) work, J offered 3 imperatives that build a clear business case. “Being innovative and nimble is more important than ever,” especially in the modern US alc bev industry. And an “innovation mindset” is 11x more common in “the most equitable and diverse cultures,” according to research by IT and consulting firm Accenture, J shared. 

So there’s an “innovation imperative” as well as a separate “culture imperative.” Not only is a positive culture more likely to be productive and profitable, it also “differentiates you from your competitors in really meaningful ways,” J shared. Factor in the cost of turnover, too, J urged, let alone the legal risks of “strained and stressed cultures,” which also tend to struggle to embrace change. Finally, McKinsey & Co has repeatedly shown that companies with more diverse executive teams, in terms of both gender and ethnic/cultural diversity, outperform the profitability of less diverse peers. 

Culture Pay Cuts and Majority Minority Drinkers Companies looking to recruit and retain younger adult workers need to pay particular attention, J suggested, as younger adults report drastically different priorities from older adults. Asked “would you consider taking a pay cut to work at a company whose mission and values align with your own,” 90% of 54-72 yr olds said “no,” J shared citing a recent McKinsey survey. But it was the precise reverse for 22-37 yr olds, 90% of which said “yes.” 

Meanwhile, alcohol’s customer base is getting more and more diverse, whether companies follow or not. The number of Latina, Black and Asian women who drink already grew by 70-100% between 2004 and 2019, according to a 2020 Rabobank analysis of NSDUH results, J showed. And the US is “estimated to be a majority minority country by 2050,” she reminded, pointing to opportunities to attract women and BIPOC drinkers “in all segments” of the alc bev biz. 

Strategic Alignment & Practice Makes Perfect DEI or IEJ work needs to be “radically aligned” with core business goals, J asserted. Throughout a series of suggested strategies, she pointed to the importance of linking these goals with more fundamental practices and processes. While working to build inclusion & equity into organizational systems and structures, “you can leverage your DEI solutions to help ease an organizational pain point generally,” she said. 

For instance, a relatively large regional craft brewer faced difficulties with “pipeline building and recruitment,” including challenges with the “cadence” and flow of hiring and on-boarding. J helped the co build a hiring kit that was “specifically meant to help them with things like bias.” But it also “made the hiring process, in general, more efficient for the organization.” That’s the kind of “win-win strategy” that should always be the goal as “there’s little sense in implementing DEI systems that don’t address your existing challenges,” J summarized. 

Inclusion & equity work requires practice, too, J reminded, likening it to any learned skill, like perfecting a golf swing. That means “you’re going to suck at it for a while, but if you keep investing” time and energy, “you will eventually suck a lot less.” And crucially, this kind of work is “not about ‘special programs for special people,’” J reminded, concluding that “great DEI strategy improves the employee and customer experience for everyone.” 


Cheers,

Christopher Shepard

Soft drink lobbyist American Beverage Assn has named Bill O'Brien, ceo of Reyes Coca-Cola Bottling, as its new chair, succeeding Matthew Dent, prexy/ceo of Buffalo Rock. Dent, who was elected in 2020, remains on ABA board for another term. Before signing on to run new Coke franchisee Reyes in 2017, O'Brien had served decades at KO, both at Coca-Cola North America and at its Coca-Cola Refreshments bottling arm that was eventually dissolved in favor of new set of franchise partners . . . One longtime bev exec is pushing out another at UNFI. In SEC filing, struggling broadliner indicated that ceo Sandy Douglas is picking up prexy role held by Chris Testa, who'll depart co on Oct 13, as co consolidates Services and Wholesale platforms. Douglas, of course, is 30-year Coca-Cola vet who joined UNFI in 2021 after a few years running Staples. Testa's bev runs had included Nantucket Nectars and then its acquirer Cadbury Schweppes Americas Beverages and even a fling as an entrepreneur behind kids' brand Wild Waters. He'd joined UNFI's Blue Marble Brands private-label operation in 2009 before moving to mother ship in 2016.

In a coupla years in bev biz, Odyssey founder Scott Frohman has shown a willingness to pivot as market learning comes in. His original line, a mushroom-infused canned coffee, was shelved as too obscure in favor of a more gulpable Odyssey Mushroom Elixir, lately augmented by an energy line dubbed 222 that just debuted at Expo East (BBI, Aug 7). At NACS, there was evidence of another pivot: "mushroom elixir" has been scrapped as potentially offputting to some shoppers in new rebranding, with lower front panel of cans flagging lion's mane and cordyceps as key functional ingredients, now that broader awareness of those mushrooms' benefits has been filtering out. But "mushroom" might be spooking some consumers who worry about flavor, in line where Frohman has taken pains to create flavorful liquids. So, "we'll focus on flavor and a cool brand" rather than belaboring mushroom identity, Frohman told us. Move was reminiscent to us of move by Bai to stop belaboring coffee-fruit ingredient in favor of more generalized "antioxidant infusion" as key step on its way to igniting and winning eventual exit to Dr Pepper Snapple Group. As for new energy line, that never strayed into mushroom identity, branded as offering "energy + focus."

Energy newcomer from Canada called Exponent Fusion Energy harnessed distinguished design shop McLean - which years back crafted Monster claw (ever seen that?) - to devise striking package dominated by block serif "X" as it seeks to grab c-store shoppers' attention with rare line in channel that's all natural. Zero-sugar line sweetened with monk fruit and erythritol offers 120 mg of caffeine along with the adaptogens ashwagandha and panax ginseng, the nootropics alpha-GPC and L-theanine, array of electrolytes from coconut water powder and pink Himalayan salt, and amino acids via BCAAs and glutamine. So it's a "cleaner, smarter fusion beverage" for "you, to the next power." Initial flavors are Sector-C (light citrus blend), Eclipse (orange & tangerine) and Blue Nova (berry with citrus notes). Formula was devised with help of Power Brands with emphasis on easy drinkability.