
Beer Marketer's Insights
Over 4 wks thru Dec 22, total CSD volume increased 0.9%, per IRI data for all-channels reported by Morgan Stanley's Dara Mohsenian. He noted that trends benefitted from 4-wk timing that included Thanksgiving holiday this yr. There was lots of discounting in CSDs, with avg price down 2.8% in all channels vs -0.3% trend over 12-wk period and +0.8% for 52 wks. Regular CSD volume was up 3.8% last 4 wks vs -1.4% last 12 wks while diets improved to -5.4% for 4 wks vs 7.2% decline over 12 wks. Coca-Cola CSD volume up 2.7% with a -3.4% avg price decline over last 4 wks. PepsiCo volume increased 3% on avg 4.7% price drop last 4 wks. That's down considerably from PEP avg price dip of -0.9% previous 12 wks. Dr Pepper Snapple CSD volume was up slightly (0.2%) with a 2.2% price increase last 4 wks. Thanksgiving timing did nothing to boost fortunes of private-label brands as volume was down 13.6%, slightly worse than trend over last 12 wks.
Better Pricing in Energy Category; MNST Outperforms Again Energy drink volume increased 4.5% in all-channel data over last 4 wks, slower than 6.9% gain over last 12 wks. Pricing trends improved, tho, to +0.7% avg for last 4 wks vs -0.9% dip for 12 wks. Monster Bev Corp volume was up 12.5% with avg price decrease of 0.4% last 4 wks. Red Bull volume was up 5.8% with a slight (+0.1%) price gain for 4 wks. Rockstar slowed to 4.6% volume gain (vs 10% last 12 wks) as its avg price moderated a bit to -2.2% vs -3.9% for 12 wks. PepsiCo energy brands (notably Amp) were up 9.3% on avg price drop of 4.4% last 4 wks, while steeper avg price drop of -5.4% for Coca-Cola energy brands (NOS, Full Throttle) didn't lift volume, which still dropped 2.7%. Private-label energy volume fell 3.5% for those 4 wks despite double-digit price drop of 10.8%.
Sports Drinks Slide Consumers weren't loading up on sports drinks from Thanksgiving to weekend before Christmas, as volume slipped 2.9% for 4 wks vs 5.5% gain last 12 wks. Avg price edged up 0.1% for 4 wks, up from -0.8% for 12 wks. Gatorade volume was off 3.3% with avg price up 1.2% while Powerade volume fell 2.5% even with avg 3.1% price drop last 4 wks. Private-label losses accelerated as volume fell 17.5% on avg 3.3% price decrease.
Water Prices Still Low Bottled water volume rose 6.3% in all-channel data last 4 wks, in line with category's 12-wk trend in these stores. Avg price for waters was down 3.7% vs -2.6% over last 12 wks. Nestle Waters volume was up 3% despite slight (+0.2%) price increase. Meanwhile, Coca-Cola and PepsiCo water volume fell 2.5% and 3.3% respectively last 4 wks. KO prices were down avg of 3.5% while PEP water prices were down 5.3%. Private-label water volume was still up double-digits (+12.5) with avg price drop of 4% last 4 wks.
Tea Volume, Pricing Trends Dip RTD tea volume slipped 0.5% over last 4 wks vs 2.2% gain over 12 wks in all-channel data. Pricing was a bit weaker as well, up slight 0.7% vs 1.3% avg for 12 wks. PEP teas (incl Lipton) were up 1.3% last 4 wks (down from +4% last 12 wks) with avg 3.3% price increase. KO teas (incl Gold Peak, Fuze) were up 11% with boost from avg 4.2% price drop. DPS tea volume (Snapple) fell 5.2% last 4 wks on flat pricing.
Web site indicates IBC is seeking investments in cos with revenues ranging from $7.5 mil to $100 mil, positive operating cash flow, enterprise value between $5 mil and $250 mil, and willing to have IBC actively engaged in managing co. Initially, it's perusing N Amer targets, both private and public, and hopes those lead to international opportunities down road.
Carson, former prexy of Cadbury Schweppes North America (predecessor co to Dr Pepper Snapple Group) serves as IBC chmn. Tho nominally retired, John has kept active hand in biz, lately via involvement in turnaround of Va copacker now called Summit. Kravitz had enjoyed varied 30-year career within Coca-Cola system, most recently serving dual role as svp of franchise and commercial operations for KO's Glaceau div and dir of customer governance in Coca-Cola North America's Franchise Relations Group. Earlier, as prexy of Glaceau, he was face of co following acquisition by KO and led integration into parent co. He previously held varied roles within KO's biggest bottler in N Amer, Coca-Cola Enterprises. Bringing expertise on alc-bev side is John Devonport, who brings 27 years with Guinness, followed by role as importer of niche beers and spirits via his Bespoke Brands LLC and spring water via his Fine Beverage Inc. Fourth key member of brain trust is Stephen Horgan, former Coca-Cola, Coors and Miller exec who'd set up broad-ranging Atlanta-based co called Brand Aspirations that targeted food/bev and logistics acquisitions (BBI, Feb 9 2011). Among IBC's advisors are former NY Gov David Paterson as well as Stonehill Business Capital chmn William Hayde and his cofounder Joseph Messina. That co specializes in alternative financing vehicles such as asset-based loans.
EXTENSIONS: Mercy Adds Chews to Mix
So far line is shipping via Amazon and other online platforms to receptive consumers in markets like Calif, Tex and Fla, and has cracked about 150 NYC retail accounts, including Morton Williams grocers, Westside Market and Garden of Eden gourmet stores and indie pharmacies, where it can find itself shelves in baby aisle or bev cooler. In early stages, at least, Steve will keep his retail distribution to Northeast. He's working social media channels to reach expectant moms and plans to make quarterly donations to Save the Children. Recall that Torres once operated NY distributor High Five, partly as vehicle to distribute Powerball; when both ran into trouble, he sold out to Brooklyn Bottling and its North Shore distribution arm, remaining there for a spell while prepping Hey Mama launch. Brand info is at TeaForMomsToBe.com. Recall too that BBI recently profiled another co targeting same demo under Healthy Mama corporate moniker and Boost It Up brand name (BBI, Nov 19).
Team of coffee experts assembled by Thrillist has voted Counter Culture of Durham, NC, as best coffee roaster, besting top-10 field that included more familiar names like Portland, Ore's Stumptown and Chicago's Intelligentsia. Counter Culture, which by now has presence up and down East Coast, is cited not just for complex flavors but for "pioneering sustainable coffee practices such as less ecologically damaging shade-growing techniques and releasing yearly transparency reports, presumably on overhead projectors," Thrillist reported. Other top finishers in voting were #2 Stumptown, 10-unit chain and supplier who "pride themselves on not only their roasts, but also their ability to intelligently discuss stoner metal with their customers," and #3 Madcap Coffee of Grand Rapids, Mich, "known for their meticulous design and a unique varietal series in which they source 8 different types of beans from the same farm," per writeup. (Grand Rapids seems unlikely setting but remember that city has also proved hotbed of respected craft brewers.) The #4 vote-getter is Intelligentsia, now with outposts in NY and LA, and #5 is tie between PT's Coffee of Topeka, Kan, and Heart Roasters of Portland, Ore. Rest of list in descending order: #7 Verve (Santa Cruz, Calif); #8 Four Barrel (SF's Mission District); #9 Dogwood (Minneapolis) and #10 Klatch (San Dimas, Calif).
Portland's Heart Goes Contrarian All the Way The 4-yr-old micro-roaster Heart may offer most unusual taste experience among Thrillist winners, going in for lightest possible roasting to preserve delicate flavors of green beans, to the point that first sip by newcomer can be shock (as BBI editor experienced during drop-in to original East Side café in Portland 2 summers back). Offering such mild roasts in a town like Portland seems quixotic stance - parallel, perhaps, to effort by Rogue Brewing unit Buckman Botanical to offer beers without bittering hops in hop-crazed IPA mecca - but Heart has garnered lotsa local respect in hypercritical coffee epicenter, even as its products remain polarizing. It opened West Side unit around corner from Ace Hotel this fall and is offered at retailers in major metros across country and by mail order. (A 12-oz bag goes for $17 or more.)
Among many contrarian moves, founders Wille Yli-Luoma (a Finnish snowboarder) and his wife Rebekah don't use Fair Trade-certified beans on grounds that those prices are way too low and designation "does not guarantee producer sustainability, farmer sustainability or quality coffee," per co's Web site. Tho some of its coffees are organic, "We do not specifically seek out organic coffees, as we primarily focus on taste, quality, and clarity. We do not advertise the organically grown coffee as such, when we are offering it." Nor will co offer iced coffee, even in summer - not even coldbrew variety that's become mainstay at superpremium roasters like Stumptown or Blue Bottle - because it ruins delicate oils, Yli-Luoma contends. As local foodie site noted, "He's adamant that his coffee is treated more like tea, gently, and with a ritualistic precision, in both roasting and beverage making." Warned NY Times travel piece detailing burgeoning "purist" coffee scene in Portland: Heart is "advanced coffee, with a juicelike flavor that's not for everybody."
Coke Consolidated Sets Incidence Pricing Deal for 2014; Includes CSDs, Coldfilled Fuze, Minute Maid
As old year winds down, it may not be bad time to look ahead to new generation of bev brands. For starters, here's glimpse of 3 top vote getters among 20 entrants to Bev Showdown at recent BevNet Live conference in Santa Monica, Calif - testimony to willingness of some entrepreneurs to think outside box in environment that some observers have lamented lately has been too stuck in safer old concepts tied to iced teas, sodas and other mainstay segments. Overall winner was Health-Ade Kombucha, while runners-up, who missed by just a nose, were Happy Tree Purely Maple maple-tree water and Chimp Food, RTD exemplar of popular paleo diet.
LA-based Health-Ade Kombucha is only just entering retail and this past fall drew minority investment from First Beverage Group. Health-Ade already has been extensively profiled in BBI (BBI, Oct 8 and 22) and, as earlier noted, melds retro apothecary touch to branding and local sourcing of ingredients as key differentiators in increasingly crowded segment. After starting in local farmers' markets, it's in just 190 stores so far but is completing production facility near LA with another to follow in NY next Sep, founders told BevNet crowd.
Happy Tree Purely Maple was launched by 2 brothers (one of them a former McKinsey consultant) from upstate NY town of Grahamsville in Catskill Mtns who initially were targeting maple syrup as opportunity but ended up going with water that flows from sugar maple trees in spring and is rich in nutrients like riboflavin and calcium. They settled on high-pressure processing (HPP) to maintain vibrant taste and have won commitment from Whole Foods' NY operation to carry brand once it formally launches in spring. They're also targeting food co-ops and bickram yoga studios as well. SRP is $3.49 but they'll promote item at 2 for $5. They're playing in segment that already boasts several entrants, including Canadian brand called Oviva and another brand called Vertical Water. Fledgling Web site is DrinkPurelyMaple.com. (As it happened, there also was birch water entry in mix of Showdown entries.)
Chimp Food smoothie line plays on notion that chimps have same dietary system as humans and are able to survive on fruits, berries, veggies, nuts and seeds. So Fla-based founder Scott Joseph has packed 5 of each of those food types - including pulps and seeds - into smoothie-like drink for "real, raw, whole food blended together." Items go for $5.99 and conform to paleo diet that's been popular in some circles.